How it works
An AI that prices Polymarket — and proves it.
Most tools either track whales or guess with AI. Vantedge Poly does both, and keeps a public score. Here's the pipeline, end to end.
Read every market
We pull the full set of active Polymarket questions with live prices, volume, and category — the same data the crowd trades on.
Debate both sides
For a market you forecast, an AI runs a bull case and a bear case over live web evidence (and on-chain data for crypto), then a judge weighs them.
Estimate the true probability
The judge outputs a calibrated P(YES) — the model's honest estimate of the real chance the answer is YES, independent of the market price.
Find the edge
We compare that P(YES) to the live price. A gap is an edge: the crowd may be mispricing it. ▲ YES or ▼ NO, sized by how big the gap is.
Check the smart money
We fuse the model with the whale tape and top-holder concentration. The ⚡ convergence signal fires only when the AI and the smart money agree.
Keep score, publicly
Every forecast is logged before it's sized, then scored by Brier against resolved markets. The Model-record rail shows whether the AI is actually right.
Where the data comes from
Your model, your key
Add your own DeepSeek or Anthropic key under Settingsand the research runs on your account. The key lives only in your browser and is sent per request — never stored on our servers. The forecaster's prompts stay server-side, so you get the answer, not the recipe.
See today's edge
Open the marketsResearch & simulation only — not financial advice. In-app trading is paper (simulated). Not affiliated with Polymarket.